Growing demand

Public consultation on the 2016-17 budget and Council Tax proposals has now closed

Growing numbers of people and households, more people needing care, more children needing school places, high levels of deprivation, the need to grow the economy, increasing amounts of household waste and keeping the District clean all add financial pressure to already shrinking budgets.

The District’s population is growing

Between now and 2020 it is forecast that:

  • the District will have 4,000 more children and young people under the age of 16, a 3% increase 
  • the working age population will grow by 6,000 or 2% 
  • the fastest population growth will be among older people – the numbers aged over 65 will rise by 7,000 or 9% and keep increasing in the years beyond 
  • the numbers of people aged over 85 will increase by 2,000 or nearly 20%

More people needing care and support

Because there are more of us and we’re living longer the numbers of people needing care and support are growing.

  • By the end of this financial year it is forecast that the Council will have provided around 1,500 hours a week more home care than it did last year 
  • One in ten people provide some level of unpaid care and 12,400 older people need assistance in maintained daily living 
  • Another 8,200 people need help with one or more activities of daily living and 1,940 are supported to live in residential or nursing homes

By 2021 the numbers of people likely to need care will have continued to increase.

  • around 750 more people with dementia – a 15% rise 
  • nearly 3,000 more adults with a physical disability 
  • 3% more adults with a learning disability 
  • over 3,000 more adults with mental health problems 
  • more adults with severe disabilities

Even relatively small numbers of people with complex needs can lead to very high costs. For example, the Council currently supports 107 people with complex and high cost needs at a total weekly cost of over £164,000, over £8.5m a year.

More children and young people

The numbers of children and young people living in the District are growing too, by over 1,400 every year between 2006 and 2014.

We need to make sure that all of our growing population of children have a place in school. Over the next four years we expect there to be around 1,300 more pupils in Primary School in the District than there are today.

More specialist school places are needed for children and young people with a range of Special Educational Needs (SEN). By 2018 we’ll need another 141 SEN places compared to 2014. In particular, the last 10 years shows a significant increase in the number of children and young people with communication and interaction needs and severe learning difficulties.

The District has seen increasing demand for children’s social care with the numbers of children needing protection plans and enquiries into children considered to be at risk of significant harm both going up.

The Council’s current net budget for specialist services to children is £57.4 million and £31.2 million of this is spent on the 900 children who are looked after by the local authority. The total number of children receiving support either as looked after children or in permanent arrangements such as adoption has gone up by up by 183 since 2012.

Deprivation, jobs and skills

The Bradford District is the 18th most deprived in England and Wales with about a third of the population living in areas that are among the most deprived 10% in the country.

The best way out of deprivation is for people to be working in good jobs and as the population grows we need to work together with education providers, partners and business to keep the economy growing and make sure that local people have the skills and knowledge that employers need. This work will be important because by 2021 the District will need around 26,000 new jobs to match national employment rates.

Collecting waste and cleaning up

The Council spends a lot of money collecting waste and cleaning up after people.

The amount of household waste is increasing. It went up by 5,000 tonnes in 2014-15 and we are predicting that this year we’ll collect nearly another 1,000 tonnes on top.

On average every household in the District currently produces over 450 kilos of general waste a year and every tonne that’s not recycled costs local taxpayers £83 to get rid of either by putting it into landfill or burning it. It’s bad for the environment too with every tonne creating between 200 to 400 cubic metres of greenhouse gas.

The Council spends around £4.2 million a year cleaning up after people, picking up litter, clearing fly tips, removing graffiti and dealing with dog fouling. Nearly £700,000 of that is spent on dealing with fly tipping with 9,069 incidents last year

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